|NOTE: Contact: Rene Abadie, Christina Chapple, SLU Public Information,
The full text of the poll is online at
http://www.selu.edu/news/US_Senate_Poll.html. Dr. Corbello is available
for comment from 9:15 to 11 a.m. and after 1:45 p.m. on Tuesday, Oct. 29.
If you would like to receive the poll by fax or arrange an interview with
Dr. Corbello, please give us a call.
SOUTHEASTERN POLL INDICATES LANDRIEU LEADING SIGNIFICANTLY IN
HAMMOND – U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu
(D-LA) maintains a significant lead over her opponents in the upcoming
senatorial election, but it remains uncertain whether she can win the race
outright in the primary, according to a statewide poll of registered voters
conducted by Southeastern Louisiana University.
Landrieu received 43.5 percent
of the voters surveyed in the poll, conducted by Kurt Corbello, associate
professor of political science, and the university’s Florida Parishes Social
Science Research Center. A total of 537 registered voters were interviewed
randomly between October 18-24 on the Senate race and President George
W. Bush’s handling of the economy and foreign policy. The poll has a sampling
error of plus or minus 4.3 percent.
In the survey, Terrell received
14.9 percent of the vote and Cooksey received 10.4 percent. Louisiana Representative
Tony Perkins (R-LA) trailed the three major candidates with 4.9 percent
of the vote. Other candidates received a total of 7.1 percent of the vote,
while nearly one-fifth (19.1 percent) of the voters polled were undecided
or refused to state a preference.
“If Senator Landrieu is forced
into a runoff, the opponent likely would be either Republican candidates
Suzanne Terrell or U.S. Representative John Cooksey,” Corbello said.
While Landrieu has a comfortable
lead heading into the primary, Corbello said turnout will be a crucial
factor in determining whether she can avoid a runoff election in December.
The preference for Landrieu extends
into most demographic categories. The survey indicates she is the preferred
candidate among black voters (70 percent), Democrats (63 percent), white
voters (33 percent), white males (41 percent) and white females (45 percent).
Among independent voters, Landrieu leads with 63 percent.
Terrell is the preference among
Republican voters polled with 31.8 percent. Cooksey follows with 18.8 percent
and Landrieu with 13.9 percent. Perkins is the choice of 3.4 percent of
Regarding the nation’s economy,
56.6 percent of those polled either approved or strongly approved of the
President’s handling of the economy. Nearly one-third (30.4 percent) expressed
disapproval, while 13 percent did not know or refused to answer.
In the area of foreign policy,
57.1 percent of those surveyed expressed approval for the President’s general
handling of foreign policy. However, when voters were asked whether the
United States should act alone against Iraq or should act only with the
United Nations, more than half (51.5percent) expressed support for acting
with the U.N., while 28.8 percent either believe or strongly believe the
nation should act independently. Two percent of the voters stated the U.S.
should not act at all against Iraq, while 17.7 percent did not know or
refused to answer.